Zoning and Investigation of Factors Affecting Forest Fire Using Evidential Belief Function Algorithm and Support Vector Machine in Boyer Ahmad City

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

forestry- natrural resorce colege- sari university- sari-iran

Abstract

In order to determine the spatial pattern of the probability of fire in the forests of Boyerahmad city, Belife evidence function models and support vector machines were used. For this purpose, at first 145 past fire positions were reported, MODIS data and field surveys were recorded using GPS, of which 70% were used for modeling and 30% for model validation. Next, 15 factors (altitude, slope gradient, slope direction, topographic position index, topographic moisture index, surface curvature, distance from village, distance from river, distance from road, geological formations, NDVI, land use, evapotranspiration annual, annual rainfall and annual temperature) were selected to assess the fire risk and maps were prepared. After performing a linear test between the independent variables, the Belife evidence function and the support vector machine models were used to create the fire zoning map. For modeling, past fire locations were identified and 70% of the data collected were used as training data for modeling and 30% for model validation. The results of the fire map study showed that areas with very high sensitivity cover 40% of the area. The results of the validation of the performance of the Belife evidence function models showed that the area under the curve was equal to 72.2% and the support vector machine with the area below the curve was 83%.Predication. Results of the current research can be used to plan and manage future fire hazards in the study area.

Keywords

References

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History

  • Receive Date: 06 December 2019
  • Revise Date: 01 March 2020
  • Accept Date: 10 March 2020

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